USDA’s estimate of Ukrainian corn harvest and exports in 2024/25 MY increased

Source:  Latifundist
МСХ США USDA

USDA analysts forecast the world corn production in 2024/25 season at 1 220.54 mln tonnes (+0.61 mln tonnes to the previous forecast). The estimate of world corn exports is 191.75 mln tonnes (+0.65 mln tonnes), while the forecast of ending stocks is 310.77 mln tonnes (-1.5 mln tonnes). This is stated in the USDA report for June.

The forecast for the corn harvest in Ukraine is 27.7 mln tonnes (+0.7 mln tonnes), exports are forecast at 24.5 mln tonnes (+0.5 mln tonnes), ending stocks – 1.48 mln tonnes.

USDA analysts left unchanged the estimate of corn production in the United States – 377.4 million tons, exports – 55.88 million tons (+1.27 million tons) and ending stocks – 53.39 million tons.

The forecast for the major corn exporters for 2024/25 MY:

Country Harvest, mln tons Exports, mln tons Reserves, mln tons
Argentina 51 (0) 36 (0) 1,74 (0)
Brazil 125 (0) 49 (0) 2,84 (0)
Russia 15,4 (-0,6) 5 (-0,2) 0,41 (-0,5)
South Africa 17(0) 3,2(0) 1,45 (-0,82)

USDA experts forecast the corn harvest in China at 292 million tons, imports – 23 million tons, ending stocks – 212.84 million tons.

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