The war in Ukraine will lead to the decline of global agriculture

Due to the full-scale invasion of Russia into Ukraine, the previous export of grain from the Black Sea region was stopped. This event will be the beginning of the decline of global agriculture.

And the war in Ukraine pushed the process of deglobalization to the highest speed. This opinion was expressed by the American political scientist and geoeconomist Peter Zeihan, as stated in the article “Agriculture and war: This year we are talking about malnutrition of 0.5 billion people, and next year this number will triple” on Kurkul.com.

“You take the world’s fourth largest wheat exporter out of the market, the world will see cascading problems not only with finances, food prices and malnutrition, but civil wars and riots, especially in the Middle East,” the economist warned.

If, after all, Ukraine can be replaced by other sellers, then the critical situation will be in the field of fertilizers. As sanctions against Russia, Belarus and China will cut off fertilizer supply chains. The result will be the same for everyone: lower productivity. And smaller harvests mean hunger.

“Only this year we are talking about malnutrition of 0.5 billion people, and next year this figure will triple. We are currently growing grain on marginal land that will not produce a crop without fertiliser. And what will happen if there is no fertilizer?”, said Peter Zeihan.

Tags: grain, Беларусь, Black Sea region, wheat, hunger, fertilizers, food prices, Ukraine, productivity, Russia, China, global agriculture, export, deglobalization