China food security: agriculture sector drops hopes of 2023 start for GM corn crops

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Leading Chinese seed companies have delayed hopes that commercial production of genetically modified (GM) corn will start this year, as Beijing has not provided a clear timeline despite a significant push for food security and calls to “revitalise the seed industry”.

Seed experts told their peers at the annual China Seed Congress in the country’s southernmost province Hainan that they would have to wait until at least 2024 before they could expect a green light for mass plantation of GM corn.

They still, however, called for investment and expressed confidence that corn produced with GM technology would take 90 per cent of the market in five years’ time.

“The government is taking a cautious approach and wants to take one step at a time,” said Ma Dehua, president at one of China’s leading seed companies, Yuan Longping High-Tech Agri, adding that more pilot programmes would be conducted in the northeast and southwest of the country this year.

“For us, of course we would like to see a faster relaxation [of the policy].”

Lu Yuping, the general manager of the company’s Hainan-based lab Longping Biotechnology, said he was expecting his company’s safety certificate to arrive by late 2022, but it was only approved in January.

“The technology is ready,” he said, but there were no plans for a mass roll out of GM this year.

Ultimately, he expects to see GM seeds accounting for 90 per cent of China’s corn production in five years.

Darin Friedrichs, an agricultural expert at Shanghai-based Sitonia Consulting, said the preview is “a touch optimistic”.

“China’s farming sector has a lot of smallholders, so it might be more of a challenge for them to all take up GM corn,” he said. “But, on the other hand, if the government really pushes for the widespread adoption of GM corn, we could also see fast results.”

China, one of the world’s biggest agricultural importers and exporters, has been much slower to deploy GM corn commercially than in other countries.
Chinese agricultural experts at the conference in Hainаn said the country’s annual corn production is only around 55 to 62 per cent of annual production in the United States.

China’s annual rural policy document published in February said there needs to be “faster steps in commercialisation in corn and soybean” and “an orderly expansion of areas for pilot projects”, but did not provide a timeline.

“The industry mostly expected commercialisation to start this year,” an expert who works for an accredited GM producer told the Post. The person wished to remain anonymous due to the sensitivity of the matter.

Only around 3 million mu (200,000 hectares) have been designated for GM corn this year, which was “very little”, the expert said, noting it was less than 1 per cent of the total area sown with corn last year, some 646 million mu.

At least five Chinese companies, including Yuan Longping High-tech, have had their GM tech on corn approved as safe. Foreign companies, though, are not allowed to sell GM seed, but can export modified crops for China’s animal feed.

Beijing has adopted a cautious approach towards GM after amid public fears about health risks.

The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, which is in charge of GM approval and commercialisation, has in recent years published documents debunking rumours that GM crops can cause infertility and cancer.

President Xi Jinping has declared that GM crops and an innovative seed industry are crucial to food security. Global food supply is facing challenges from climate change and, more recently, Russia’s invasion in Ukraine.

Despite worsening relations with the US, China is the top destination for American corn exports. Before the war, Ukraine was China’s second largest source of corn imports, but Brazil has taken its place.

Lai Jinsheng, a professor at the China Agricultural University, said corn production from pilot programmes in the last two years showed production volume can be boosted from 5.6 per cent to 11.6 per cent, and anti-pest GM tech has been shown to be effective in 95 per cent of tested corn.

Seeds have been dubbed “the chips of agriculture” by Chinese state media.

Yet, Yang Shang, the head of corn crops and traits at Bayer CropScience China, said he does not agree with such an analogy, because the US is not preventing development of Chinese seeds or agriculture, unlike what they are doing with the Chinese semiconductor industry.

“It is now a great window of opportunity for China to import more seeds from overseas as no country has proposed limiting China with such a method yet,” said Yang, whose company is a German joint venture with a Chinese company.

GM tech in agriculture is currently on China’s negative list for foreign investment.

“If China continues to block foreign investors from investing in the GM industry, they might not have the incentive any more,” Yang said.

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