Avian influenza: emergency order in Michigan, higher egg prices

In the last 30 days, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) reports that 11 commercial flocks have been infected and 8 backyard flocks, with total birds infected 8.8 million.

A good number of the infections have happened in the state of Michigan. On 2 May, the state government declared a ‘Determination of Extraordinary Emergency’ and implemented an ‘HPAI [highly pathogenic avian influenza] Risk Reduction Response Order’, which applies to all commercial poultry and dairy facilities.

Regarding highly pathogenic avian influenza in dairy cattle, it’s now been determined that the current strain has been spreading among dairy cows for months, according to new preliminary analysis of genomic data. As of 2 May, the USDA had confirmed infections in 36 dairy herds in 9 states. Some infected cattle from Texas were moved to other states, but herds could also be infected through ingesting grass or water contaminated with infected wild bird droppings, or through other means.

Forbes is reporting that prices for farm-level eggs are predicted to increase about 22% in 2024 compared to 2023 due to declines in egg production. Large numbers of US hens have died or were culled due to highly pathogenic avian influenza – over 14 million in November and December.

Еgg prices rose 54% in February this year in the US but fell 23.2% in March.

Forbes states that when highly pathogenic avian influenza hit the US in 2022, this contributed to egg prices in some supermarkets being as high as US$7 a dozen, with a peak for national average price in urban markets hitting US$4.82 in January 2023.

Egg prices are also high worldwide at present. Bird flu in Japan is believed to be a major reason why egg prices are 20% higher than they were in January.

Nan-Dirk Mulder, a senior analyst at Rabobank, has noted in various media reports that EU countries, Russia, South Africa, India, and Nigeria are all experiencing historically-high egg prices. Prices are also higher than usual in Mexico, Norway, Indonesia and other regions due to a range of factors including heatwaves and strong demand for eggs to replace expensive meat in the diet.